The Odds Of Impeachment


Well, we might as well start talking about that “I” word, right?

The one thing that bugs me about how the word impeachment is used is, well, like the guy in The Princess Bride says, I don’t think it means what they think it means. They think impeachment means President Trump would be ousted. Not so. It means that there would be a trial in the Senate and if 67 senators vote guilty, then he is convicted and removed from office provided there isn’t some heretofore seen resistance at that point.

If I were in Las Vegas, I’d say resignation is the more likely to happen. They cut Trump a Nixon-like deal, a pardon at some point in the future for a resignation in the near term. I think that’s a 5-1 shot.

Impeachment, I’m thinking that’s about 8-1. It might not necessarily be over Russia either. It could possibly be over something we don’t know about yet, considering the limitless boundaries of what seems to be Trump’s inexperience, if not incomptence. Ronald Reagan was called the Teflon president, because until his second term, nothing stuck to him. Trump is the polar opposite: right or wrong, everything sticks to him.

Say the House of Representatives impeached Trump, and the Senate tries him, and the President doesn’t resign. I’d set conviction at 13-1. If it gets that far before the 2018 elections, he’s in deep trouble, because that would mean Republicans turned on him. If it (meaning Trump’s impeachment) happens at the House level, it most definitely happens at the Senate level.

There are other variables at play as well, namely that we don’t know what we don’t know as of now. Do the Democrats attempt to stretch the investigation out past November of 2018 into 2019, so that they could possibly get more Dems seated in the House and Senate?

Could this degenerate into, God forbid, civil war, considering the events and the near mass fight that took place at the Texas State House on Memorial Day, and considering the alternating narratives that CNN and MSNBC, put out as opposed to Fox News. Plus, that whole Kathy Griffin fiasco yesterday. On second thought, let’s not talk about that.

Unfortunately for our country, I could see something like Trump fighting it out down to the last possible moment. I don’t think there’s a limit in terms of how far this goes, and I don’t think most of us get that.

Meow Mix

I don’t know what possessed Google Photos to make this video for me. I certainly didn’t ask them to do it. It probably saw that I was taking all of these photos of my cat Harry and made a nice little collage out of it.

Warning: the jazzy song in this tune consisting of one word, the word being meow, will stick in your head. You’ve been warned.

Thank you Google Photos…I think. I’m a little creeped out over the whole thing.

Flashback: “A View To A Kill” by Duran Duran

Had to play this one this week in memory of the passing of Sir Roger Moore, one of the few actors to have played James Bond in the movies…

Duran Duran took this to the top of the Billboard charts in the summer of 1985, making this the first song from a Bond film to go to #1. It was also probably the peak point of their popularity in the 1980’s, and was the last film where Moore played the role of Bond, James Bond.

Ten Minutes To Win It

In order to find that perfect balance between player safety and what draws the optimum TV audience (I guess), the NFL adapted a rule change that will shorten overtime periods in preseason and regular season games from 15 minutes down to 10. 

I don’t know why overtime is needed in preseason games, so I’d be okay with getting rid of that altogether. But reducing regular season OT down to 10 minutes strikes me as lunacy, as it will likely create more tie games. 

I know most of the world has soccer, where tie games are commonplace. That is unless you need a winner, and they have penalty kick shootouts for that. But we here in America like to have winners and losers to everything.

It kind of reminds me of how boxing reacted to the death of Duk Koo Kim in 1982. Within five years, the sport’s governing bodies thought they had the answer: reduce title fights from 15 rounds to 12. It didn’t prevent fighters from dying, as a punch thrown at any time could still, hypothetically do that. But it looked good and made the “TV gods” happy. 

I don’t know how well this is going to go over, so we’ll see. I could be wrong. 

Manchester

Well, it happened again, though the way the world is these days, it was inevitable something like this was going to happen again.

I was getting ready to watch the Rays game at 7:00pm when I first heard about it. My eyes have been glued to TV cable news since.

A bomb went off near the Manchester Arena, where an Ariana Grande concert was taking place. Many were killed, many more injured.

Unfortunately, that’s the world we live in. Looking forward to the day we don’t have to worry about such incidents.